niftytoNews@lemmy.world·1 month agoNate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the electoral college in latest forecast(www.msn.com)external-linkarrow-up1238arrow-down144message-square161fedilink
arrow-up1194arrow-down1external-linkNate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the electoral college in latest forecast(www.msn.com)niftytoNews@lemmy.world·1 month agomessage-square161fedilink
minus-squareFlowVoidEnglisharrow-up1arrow-down4·1 month agoedit-21 month agolinkfedilink He said Trump had a 28% chance of winning, and Trump won. So he was also “right.” Do you see now why what you’re saying is incorrect? Suppose I said Trump had a 72% chance of winning the same election, which Trump won. Am I also “right”? If so, how can it be that Trump has a 28% chance of winning and a 72% chance of winning? If not, why is he right instead of me?
Suppose I said Trump had a 72% chance of winning the same election, which Trump won. Am I also “right”?
If so, how can it be that Trump has a 28% chance of winning and a 72% chance of winning?
If not, why is he right instead of me?