• jolEnglish
    arrow-up
    10
    arrow-down
    0
    ·
    8 months ago
    link
    fedilink

    What if its exponential growth?

    • TropicalDingdongEnglish
      arrow-up
      26
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      8 months ago
      link
      fedilink

      What if its exponential growth?

      Then we should expect that in ~35 years, 200% of users will be using desktop linux.

      • ColeSlothEnglish
        arrow-up
        10
        arrow-down
        0
        ·
        8 months ago
        link
        fedilink

        The math checwait, no. That math doesn’t check out at all.

        • HupfEnglish
          arrow-up
          12
          arrow-down
          0
          ·
          8 months ago
          link
          fedilink

          It is an older math, Sir. I was going to let them pass.

        • agent_flounderEnglish
          arrow-up
          2
          arrow-down
          0
          ·
          8 months ago
          link
          fedilink

          Naw, it just means everyone will have two Linux computers!

          • A_Random_IdiotEnglish
            arrow-up
            4
            arrow-down
            0
            ·
            8 months ago
            link
            fedilink

            I mean, I currently have 3 linux computers sooooo

        • TropicalDingdongEnglish
          arrow-up
          2
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          8 months ago
          edit-2
          8 months ago
          link
          fedilink

          Ok, fine, I’ll do the actual curve fitting instead of just estimating.

          Eyeballing it, were saying 1% in 2013, 2% in 2021, 3% in 2023?

          Gives us a fit of

          0.873 * exp(0.118 * x)

          So

          Correct the equation and solve for x

          x_target = np.log(200 / a) / b

          Calculate the actual year

          year_target = 2013 + x_target

          print(year_target)

          In ~2058 everyone will be using two linux desktops at once.

          • ColeSlothEnglish
            arrow-up
            2
            arrow-down
            0
            ·
            8 months ago
            link
            fedilink

            If you don’t think of the increase in speed of new users as continuing to increase exponentially.

            • TropicalDingdongEnglish
              arrow-up
              2
              arrow-down
              1
              ·
              8 months ago
              link
              fedilink

              Isn’t that the point of the exponent in the exponential function?

      • AlecStewart1stEnglish
        arrow-up
        2
        arrow-down
        0
        ·
        8 months ago
        link
        fedilink

        2060 - The True and Definitive Year of the Linux Desktop (maybe, probably not but hopefully)