We live in a post-truthiness world. Nobody cares any more if the lies seem plausible.
Just this guy, you know?
We live in a post-truthiness world. Nobody cares any more if the lies seem plausible.
SpaceX has one viable product
Two. I can’t even figure out whether you’re ignoring Starlink or their space launch business. But yeah, the Elonville on Mars obsession makes about as much sense as the Cybertruck.
Or are FlyingSquid a collective consciousness wielding more limbs for typing than any singular human?
There you go conflating Jews and Israel. Apart from that you have an arguable point.
Probability is useful because it can make predictions that can be tested against reality.
Yes. But you’d have to run the test repeatedly and see if the outcome, i.e. Clinton winning, happens as often as the model predicts.
But we only get to run an election once. And there is no guarantee that the most likely outcome will happen on the first try.
That’s not exactly what happened. Starlink was already disabled in Crimea when the attack was launched and Musk refused to enable it specifically for the attack. Then the initial reports got a bit tangled up.
But yes, none of this should be up to Musk.
That’s just not true. Go to https://ev-database.org/ and compare the dry weight of the different models. You don’t add 66kg going from standard to long range in software.
If I remember this correctly, the square of the error for the sum of (or difference between) two independent measurements is the sum of the squares of the individual errors. Gauss something.
That would make the error for the 8 point swing be sqrt(2×3.8²) or about 5.4. So at least the swing is significant in each state.
Also, the error for the average of 3 variables is sqrt(e1²+e2²+e3²)/3 or 2.2 so the average lead in the 3 states is significant.
But we can’t make a significant claim about the lead in each state.
Frankly eating in all the time was a net positive, I’m in the best shape of my life
Eating out is a lot better for me after I moved to Italy, so there is that. And living in Italy and having to make do with my own cooking would be Very Sad. But yeah, context matters a lot. The Italians took this stuff very seriously the first time around and vaccination rates were really high when I was neaurotically tracking it. I should look up the annual booster rate.
I don’t know where you are, but I’d be less comfortable in an air conditioned eatery in Texas than outside a restaurant in Rome (where I was at the height). And with the current numbers I should probably start avoiding crowds and recirculated air again.
I’m fine with never eating out again.
Yeah, that would be a severe degradation of life for me, so that’s a no-go unless the probabilities shift back to where they were in 2020-22ish.
Posting from a restaurant in Sardinia.
Are you waiting for something to change or will you do this for the rest of your life?
I stopped when we had as much vaccine protection as we were going to get and the virus wasn’t causing quite as severe disease any more. Forever is a long time.
Can confirm.
Source: married to journalist who counts down the hours and triple checks the time zone math to avoid this.
I don’t actually see an argument anywhere? Just an observation, so the downvote confuse me. Is everyone on a hair trigger because of all that manufactured controversy?
She’s also got tan lines that would make a cyclist proud while blonde needs to get out more.
That’s just his taxoplasma communicating with your taxoplasma. Nothing to worry about.
He could, if he were a normal person, mean that he won’t be able to run again if he wins this time, so people won’t have to come out to vote for him.
The EU has declared Twitter and a few others to be gate-keepers and they will now be held to a higher standard. But I don’t think the EU is going to use this power to save US democracy.
They are covered by the “one of” part of the sentence. And the current Greek democratic system is not old in the sense that the US system is old.
Greek democracy has also been far from continuous, if we want to take that into account.
“Algorithmic timeline” might be appropriately specific?